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Application value of decision tree model based on ultrasonic signs in predicting the risk grade of gastrointestinal stromal tumors
GUO Jingjing, TANG Xiubin, CHEN Lei, QIAN Qingfu, LIN Liwu, XUE Ensheng, CHEN Zhikui
China Oncology    2022, 32 (1): 41-46.   DOI: 10.19401/j.cnki.1007-3639.2022.01.005
Abstract   (276 HTML20 PDF(pc) (1825KB)(585)  

Background and purpose: The biological risk of gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) can be divided into very low-risk, low-risk, moderate-risk and high-risk. Accurate preoperative prediction of risk is very important for clinical diagnosis and treatment. This study explored the application value of decision tree model based on ultrasonic signs in predicting the risk grade of GIST. Methods: A total of 206 GIST patients treated in Union Hospital Affiliated to Fujian Medical University from December 2016 to December 2020 were collected. The decision tree model was established, and the prediction accuracy of the model was calculated. Results: There were statistically significant differences in long diameter, short diameter/long diameter (S/L), location, internal echo, echo uniformity, boundary, shape, cystic necrosis and blood flow signals among low-risk, moderate-risk and high-risk groups (all P<0.05). The prediction accuracy of the decision tree model based on the long diameter, location, echo uniformity and shape was 72.33%, and the prediction accuracies of the low-risk group and high-risk group were 80.90% and 93.90%, respectively. Conclusion: The decision tree model based on ultrasonic signs has high application value in predicting the risk grade of GIST.


Indicator Low-risk group
(n=89)
Moderate-risk group
(n=35)
High-risk group
(n=82)
Total
(n=206)
Gender
Male 49 23 51 123
Female 40 12 31 83
Long diameter D/cm
≤2.0 26 8 6 40
2.0-5.0 60 21 17 98
5.0-10.0 3 6 19 28
>10.0 0 0 40 40
Tumor source location
Stomach 70 35 47 152
Outside the stomach 19 0 35 54
Echo uniformity
Homogeneous 63 9 13 85
Heterogeneous 26 26 69 121
Internal echo
Hypoecho 87 29 74 190
Isoecho 2 6 8 16
Shape
Regular 55 12 13 80
Irregular 34 23 69 126
Boundary
Clear 83 31 60 174
Unclear 6 4 22 32
Necrotic cystic degeneration
Positive 11 15 54 80
Negative 78 20 28 126
Blood flow signals
Level 0 55 22 16 93
Level 1 24 11 24 59
Level 2 6 2 18 26
Level 3 4 0 24 28
Tab. 1 The results of GIST indicators between the different risk groups
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