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Application value of decision tree model based on ultrasonic signs in predicting the risk grade of gastrointestinal stromal tumors
GUO Jingjing, TANG Xiubin, CHEN Lei, QIAN Qingfu, LIN Liwu, XUE Ensheng, CHEN Zhikui
China Oncology    2022, 32 (1): 41-46.   DOI: 10.19401/j.cnki.1007-3639.2022.01.005
Abstract   (276 HTML20 PDF(pc) (1825KB)(577)  

Background and purpose: The biological risk of gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) can be divided into very low-risk, low-risk, moderate-risk and high-risk. Accurate preoperative prediction of risk is very important for clinical diagnosis and treatment. This study explored the application value of decision tree model based on ultrasonic signs in predicting the risk grade of GIST. Methods: A total of 206 GIST patients treated in Union Hospital Affiliated to Fujian Medical University from December 2016 to December 2020 were collected. The decision tree model was established, and the prediction accuracy of the model was calculated. Results: There were statistically significant differences in long diameter, short diameter/long diameter (S/L), location, internal echo, echo uniformity, boundary, shape, cystic necrosis and blood flow signals among low-risk, moderate-risk and high-risk groups (all P<0.05). The prediction accuracy of the decision tree model based on the long diameter, location, echo uniformity and shape was 72.33%, and the prediction accuracies of the low-risk group and high-risk group were 80.90% and 93.90%, respectively. Conclusion: The decision tree model based on ultrasonic signs has high application value in predicting the risk grade of GIST.


Indicator Low-risk group vs
moderate-risk group
Moderate-risk group vs
high-risk group
Low-risk group vs
high-risk group
Statistic of test P value Statistic of test P value Statistic of test P value
Long diameterb -13.062 0.240 -61.837 0.000 -74.900 0.000
S/Lb -0.837 0.944 27.516 0.022 26.679 0.003
Tumor source locationa 8.824 0.004 21.315 0.000 8.991 0.003
Internal echoc NA 0.006 NA 0.350 NA 0.050
Echo uniformitya 20.959 0.000 1.562 0.301 52.159 0.000
Boundary NA 0.466c 3.366a 0.089a 12.577a 0.000a
Shapea 7.656 0.009 4.960 0.030 37.611 0.000
Necrotic cystic degenerationa 14.100 0.000 5.362 0.025 51.831 0.000
Blood flow signalsb 4.365 0.696 -60.184 0.000 -55.819 0.000
Tab. 2 The comparison of indicators in different risk groups
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